SPX Roadmap Sep 2023
Actualizado
To get some panic going, market will most likely break the most obvious level of 4275 and spike the 200dma...
Nota
And the 4275 got spiked yesterdayNota
So the low on Oct 4 was likely the low although there is a bit of a danger period post Oct OPEX. Lets see whether SPX retraces to 4300 next few daysNota
Next week will be crucial. It will be preferable to have a spike down Monday/Tuesday to below 200dma into 4125/4185 range and reversal from thereNota
Below these levels and that likely confirms the late July top as a B wave topNota
If this undershoots, say makes a large wick and reverses up, most likely will be in the low 4000s, say 4020/4060 into late Oct/early Nov. BOJ and Fed meetingsNota
Today low looks a bit high, could be one more lower lowNota
Overnight, the min target levels have been reached. The yearly bull trend is around 4020 plus FIB retraces at around 4040, so that will be reasonable on more downside. Will not surprise me if 4020 gets taggedNota
Getting thereNota
What a rebound from the expected levels. Algos do not sleepNota
V shape cupNota
The speed of recovery surprises me a bitNota
1Q24 support is 4415/4500 and very likely will get tested in March if not earlier
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