Take Profit 1 - 0.6038 Take Profit 2 - 0.5988 Take Profit 3 - 0.5938 Stop loss - 0.6218
The NZDUSD pair has been in a bearish trend for the past few weeks, and it is currently trading near the bottom of its range. The current spot rate is 0.6118, and a sell entry point of 0.6118 is just above the recent low of 0.6108.
There are a few reasons why NZDUSD could continue to fall in the near term. First, the NZD is generally seen as a commodity currency, and it has been weakening against the USD in recent weeks as commodity prices have fallen. Second, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to raise interest rates more slowly than the US Federal Reserve, which could put downward pressure on the NZD against the USD. Finally, the New Zealand economy is expected to grow more slowly than the US economy in the near term. This is due to a number of factors, including the impact of the war in Ukraine on the New Zealand economy.
Technical analysis:
From a technical perspective, the NZDUSD pair is trading below its 200-day moving average, which is a bearish signal. The pair is also forming a bearish descending triangle pattern, which is a continuation pattern that typically leads to a breakout to the downside.
Fundamental analysis:
The New Zealand economy is expected to grow more slowly than the US economy in the near term. This is due to a number of factors, including the impact of the war in Ukraine on the New Zealand economy. However, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to raise interest rates more slowly than the US Federal Reserve, which could put downward pressure on the NZD against the USD.
Risks:
There are a few risks to consider before entering a trade on NZDUSD. First, the global economy is facing some headwinds, such as the war in Ukraine. These headwinds could weigh on risk appetite and lead to a decline in the NZDUSD pair. Second, the US Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates more quickly than the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which could put downward pressure on the USD against the NZD. Finally, the New Zealand economy is facing some headwinds, such as the war in Ukraine and the ongoing trade tensions with China. These headwinds could weigh on the NZD and lead to a decline in the NZDUSD pair.
Overall:
I think NZDUSD is a good pair to trade for those who are looking for a short-term bearish trend. However, it is important to remember that the forex market is volatile, and there is always the risk of a reversal. You should always do your own research before entering any trades.
Here are some additional factors that you may want to consider before entering a trade on NZDUSD:
The economic outlook for New Zealand and the US. The level of volatility in the forex market. The price of commodities, such as oil and other manufactured goods.
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