IRFC is showing signs of consolidation near the ₹149 level, which coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone. This area has acted as strong support historically, and the stock is currently trading within a descending channel. With the upcoming Union Budget 2024-25, there is growing anticipation around announcements for increased railway infrastructure funding, which could act as a major bullish trigger for IRFC.
Bullish Scenario • A strong breakout above ₹186 (0.786 Fibonacci level) could signal a fresh rally. • If positive news related to higher railway capex or infrastructure growth emerges in the Budget, IRFC could target ₹200 initially and extend toward ₹226 (its all-time high). • The stock may gain investor confidence if the government focuses on policies to enhance public financing and infrastructure growth, further boosting its long-term outlook.
Bearish Risks • Failure to hold ₹149 support could lead to a retracement toward ₹125 (0.5 Fibonacci level). • A lack of impactful Budget announcements or weak market sentiment could pressure the stock to test lower levels around ₹101.
For bullish traders, this is a critical level to monitor. Watch for any breakout confirmation above the channel, as it could pave the way for a significant upside. The Budget announcements are likely to play a pivotal role in determining the stock’s direction.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market movements depend on several factors, including policy changes. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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