USD Falling Wedge Break - Working Strongest Week Since Sept. 22
The US Dollar has started Q4 much differently than how most of Q3 had went.
I looked at the stalling in DXY multiple times last month as sellers seemingly had an open door to run with prints of fresh yearly lows. Yet - they were constantly thwarted. The USD even tried to set another fresh low to start this week, with Monday being the final day of Q3 trade but, again, bulls held price at a higher-low.
That then led to a strong five-day rally that's still running after this morning's release of Non-farm Payrolls. Rate cuts are getting priced-out of the market as we now have the first rise in yoy Core PCE in more than a year, and a really strong NFP report.
This has so far amounted to the strongest weekly outing in the Greenback since Sept of 2022, before the currency had topped. Notably - that turn was very much driven by the European Central Bank coming to the table with 75 bp hikes. That doesn't seem as though it's a realistic possibility at this point. - js
I looked at the stalling in DXY multiple times last month as sellers seemingly had an open door to run with prints of fresh yearly lows. Yet - they were constantly thwarted. The USD even tried to set another fresh low to start this week, with Monday being the final day of Q3 trade but, again, bulls held price at a higher-low.
That then led to a strong five-day rally that's still running after this morning's release of Non-farm Payrolls. Rate cuts are getting priced-out of the market as we now have the first rise in yoy Core PCE in more than a year, and a really strong NFP report.
This has so far amounted to the strongest weekly outing in the Greenback since Sept of 2022, before the currency had topped. Notably - that turn was very much driven by the European Central Bank coming to the table with 75 bp hikes. That doesn't seem as though it's a realistic possibility at this point. - js
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