Crude Futures Push Above The 200 DMA

Technical Momentum Strengthens

Crude Oil futures are rebounding in 2024 after trading above the 200-day moving average at $77.54. The technical perspective shows momentum studies rising from oversold territories, while the 9-day moving average trades below the 18-day. DMI- is slightly above DMI +, indicating that the market is still in a correction phase, while the Average True Range declines to $1.77 daily, showing an uptick in volatility.

API Inventories Decline

API Inventory has decreased recently, indicating a tighter supply picture. Recent API inventory data shows a decline of 2.4 million barrels. The current EIA inventories are 455 million barrels, compared to the five-year average of 474 million barrels for this period.

Cushing stocks in the Midwest show 35 million barrels in inventory versus a five-year average of 42 million barrels.

Middle East Tensions Rise

The U.S. economy continues to expand in 2024, driven by the high probability of a soft landing, which fuels investor sentiment. Geopolitical tensions have increased recently, indicating the possibility of a widening Middle Eastern conflict in the future. Traders will remain focused on inflation data, inventory productions, and the direction of economic data.

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