Bitcoin possibilities

After zooming out over the course of a few days I see a few very simple possibilities. I've removed a lot of indicators to try to see a wider perspective for both a longer term swing trade and a shorter term investment.

One: we have finished the %62 retrace of the parabolic rise and are bouncing around a consolidated price (good long term buy if you believe in the market fundamentals)
Two: parabolic price action will continue to retrace till around 78% and we will see the 5s.

Depending on where you draw the trendline, we are slightly above or below the natural price consolidation.

Even though we're in a bearish trend at the moment, I will layer in buys between here and 7800... if it becomes clear that we're headed lower, I'll hodl and buy more at the 5xxxs. I don't think we're going there, and our beloved/loathed Tom Lee has said "bottom is in for the year". Valuations of bitcoin are wildly disparate, so clearly we're buying what we think will happen...
Trend Analysis

Exención de responsabilidad