Although I dont find this scenario likely, I wanted to share for another point of view.
BTC seems like it has broken the downtrend of the last month, however we are not 100% sure.
This case is possible but when the timing considered I did not like it.
When it comes to BTC, everything is possible...
I am trying to draw as many elliott waves as I can to learn more about the theorem and to be more objective.
This is me learning and sharing my opinions , I am not a pro at all - yet :)