Technical Analysis On the 4-hour chart, AUD/USD has maintained its downward trajectory, decisively breaking below the weekly support level at 0.65579. This break has paved the way for further declines, with the next immediate support target at 0.65470. Should bearish control persist, the subsequent downside objectives are at 0.65331, 0.65178, and 0.65012. Each support level represents a critical inflection point, where a breach could accelerate the bearish continuation. Momentum indicators further substantiate the bearish outlook.
In an alternative scenario, if buyers manage to regain control and push the price above 0.65579, the immediate focus would shift to the resistance level at 0.65980. A breakout above this level could signal a potential shift in momentum, suggesting a possible reversal of the current bearish trend.
Key Events to Monitor Traders should closely monitor upcoming speeches by Federal Reserve members Thomas Barkin and Neel Kashkari, as these may provide further clarity on the Fed's future policy direction. However, the primary market-moving event for AUD/USD remains the release of U.S. inflation data on Wednesday. Given the current bearish sentiment, any surprises in the inflation report could trigger significant volatility in the U.S. dollar, directly impacting AUD/USD dynamics.
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