On the daily time frame, there has been a sideways range since August 24 (with point 4 formed). The lower boundary is 0.63478, and the upper boundary is 0.6942. The seller's vector 5-6 within the range on the daily time frame has reached the target of 0.65604. The buyer has halted the downward movement and is trying to start their vector 6-7 with a potential target of 0.67985.
If we think not in terms of the range, but how the last buyer’s impulse, which started at 0.63478, traders have gathered volume below the 50% level (0.66278) of this impulse, which may indicate an attempt to reverse the price upwards.
We should pay attention to how the price interacts with the 0.6622 level. This is the start of the buyer’s last sub-impulse (which nearly coincides with the 50% level of the last impulse!).
If the buyer manages to break through this level and defend it, this accumulation below the level will provide good fuel for an upward move, and long positions can be sought.
If the seller defends the 0.6622 level, it makes sense to wait for the buyer’s next attempt to reverse the price on the daily time frame, as searching for short positions in the buyer’s context area is risky.
Short positions can be looked for on lower time frames, with lower time frame targets and considering the contexts of both the higher and lower time frames. A medium-term forecast can be found in the related post.
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