The AUDJPY pair has been trading within a bullish Channel for more than a year and is currently on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The 1D RSI Lower Highs sequence prompts to the similar structure of November 2021 - February 2022, which made the pair break upwards when the RSI Lower Highs broke eventually. As a result, a similar RSI break-out should be enough to target the top of the bullish Channel around 99.000.

However since the June 08 top, we see a shorter-term Channel Down forming with clear Lower Highs and Lower Lows. With the price that close to the Lower Highs, it offers excellent Risk/ Reward ratios both on the upside break-out and the rejection, which should target the Lower Lows trend-line above (or near) the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).


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