AUD/JPY Short Setup Near Key 101.000 Resistance
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**AUD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Momentum After False Breakout, Key Support Levels in Focus**
Recently, the AUD/JPY currency pair exhibited a notable false breakout above the 102.00 resistance zone, triggering a bearish impulse move that has shifted the sentiment towards a possible downtrend. This initial breakout, followed by a sharp reversal, suggests that buyers may be losing strength at these higher levels. The pair faced significant resistance near the top boundary of an upward-trending channel, where it has rebounded sharply, failing to sustain momentum past this resistance.
The technical signals on the weekly timeframe add further weight to this bearish perspective. A long-tailed bar has formed, typically indicative of a possible exhaustion of bullish pressure and a reversal in direction. This long wick suggests that sellers stepped in decisively, pushing prices down after an initial rise. As a result, it implies a potential shift in sentiment, hinting at the likelihood of lower price levels in the near term.
Currently, the broader trend of AUD/JPY appears to be moving sideways, oscillating within a defined range. The price action’s inability to break out convincingly beyond this range aligns with the view that any upward moves might be short-lived. The recent false breakout near the upper boundary underscores the presence of robust selling interest at this level, further supporting the case for a potential downside continuation.
Looking ahead, I expect AUD/JPY to pull back toward the resistance zone before resuming its bearish movement. This retracement may provide an opportunity to re-evaluate entry points as the pair potentially builds momentum for a deeper decline. My primary target is the support zone around 96.170, a level that aligns with both historical support and the lower boundary of the current range.
In summary, AUD/JPY has shown clear signs of bearish pressure following a false breakout and rejection at the channel’s top boundary. The combination of technical signals—the false breakout, long-tailed weekly bar, and sideways trend—suggests a strong case for continued downside action, with the 96.170 support zone as a key target. As the pair potentially retraces, I’ll monitor for signs of renewed selling pressure, particularly in the resistance area, before a deeper move down.
Recently, the AUD/JPY currency pair exhibited a notable false breakout above the 102.00 resistance zone, triggering a bearish impulse move that has shifted the sentiment towards a possible downtrend. This initial breakout, followed by a sharp reversal, suggests that buyers may be losing strength at these higher levels. The pair faced significant resistance near the top boundary of an upward-trending channel, where it has rebounded sharply, failing to sustain momentum past this resistance.
The technical signals on the weekly timeframe add further weight to this bearish perspective. A long-tailed bar has formed, typically indicative of a possible exhaustion of bullish pressure and a reversal in direction. This long wick suggests that sellers stepped in decisively, pushing prices down after an initial rise. As a result, it implies a potential shift in sentiment, hinting at the likelihood of lower price levels in the near term.
Currently, the broader trend of AUD/JPY appears to be moving sideways, oscillating within a defined range. The price action’s inability to break out convincingly beyond this range aligns with the view that any upward moves might be short-lived. The recent false breakout near the upper boundary underscores the presence of robust selling interest at this level, further supporting the case for a potential downside continuation.
Looking ahead, I expect AUD/JPY to pull back toward the resistance zone before resuming its bearish movement. This retracement may provide an opportunity to re-evaluate entry points as the pair potentially builds momentum for a deeper decline. My primary target is the support zone around 96.170, a level that aligns with both historical support and the lower boundary of the current range.
In summary, AUD/JPY has shown clear signs of bearish pressure following a false breakout and rejection at the channel’s top boundary. The combination of technical signals—the false breakout, long-tailed weekly bar, and sideways trend—suggests a strong case for continued downside action, with the 96.170 support zone as a key target. As the pair potentially retraces, I’ll monitor for signs of renewed selling pressure, particularly in the resistance area, before a deeper move down.
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