Looking at the technical picture of the Australian index ASX 200, we can see that from around the beginning of February, the index has been trading inside a falling wedge pattern, which could be classed as a bullish indication, especially if the upper side of that pattern gets violated. Today we saw that violation and the index made a strong move to the upside. In addition to all that, the price remains above a medium-term tentative upside support line taken from the low of October 3rd. Although the near-term outlook seems to be more positive then negative, we would still prefer to wait for another push above the 7260 barrier and the 50-day EMA, just to get a bit more comfortable with higher areas.

Alternatively, to shift our view towards lower areas, a break of the aforementioned upside line and a drop below the 7110 territory would be required. Such a move would not only break the current medium-term trend but also would confirm a forthcoming lower low. That's when we would get comfortable with examining lower levels.

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