Buying during Miner Capitulation yields wonderful returns.

The best buy signals occur on Hash Rate "recovery", and when price momentum is also positive.

Historically, this strategy has yielded average returns to cycle peak of >5000%, with max Drawdown of -15%.

Follow me to learn more about this indicator.
Notas de prensa: Updated shape titles.
Notas de prensa: Cleaned up chart/code. No technical changes.
Notas de prensa: More chart formatting for clarity on "light" TradingView theme.

No technical changes.
Notas de prensa: Release Notes: Update v1.1

  • All prior calculation logic remains unchanged.

    This Update includes:
    Fix of re-painting issue on live data. This stop false alerts before the daily bar has closed. On live data, yesterday’s Hash Rates will be used regardless of the Bitcoin ticker symbol you are looking at.
  • Addition of multi-time-frame management. This now gives you the ability to use this indicator on any time-frame (Minutely, Hourly, Daily) and always know you are looking at the Hash rate values from yesterday's close.

Enjoy!
Notas de prensa: Added optional Hash Rate "Growth" Oscillator.

To use, change the indicator setting "Plot Type" to "Oscillator".

For more information, see my TradingView "Idea": "Miner Confusion? An Unusual State in Hash Rate Growth"

Notas de prensa: Added "Capitulation" and "Recovery" text to plot
Notas de prensa:
  • Added chart "alerts" for easier notification
  • Added chart shape "titles"
  • Minor chart formatting tweaks
  • No calculation changes
Notas de prensa:
  • Added notes in code explaining how to use the "Spring" (copied below)
  • Added option to display raw Hash Rate
  • Fixed minor bug where 1 blue circle in 2012 didn't appear on the chart


The "Spring" is the confirmed Miner Capitulation period:
- The 1st "gray" circle is the start of Capitulation (1 month Hash Rate crosses UNDER 2 month Hash Rate)
- Last "green" circle is the end of Capitulation (1 month Hash Rate crosses OVER 2 month Hash Rate)
- The "greener" the spring gets (up until blue) represents Hash Rate recovery (it is increasing)
- The "blue" circle is the first instance of positive momentum following recovery of Hash Rate (1m HR > 2m HR). This is historically a rewarding place to buy with limited downside.
Notas de prensa: Small fix for intra-day time frame management.
Notas de prensa: Minor code tweak.
Notas de prensa: Minor code optimization - no logic change.
Notas de prensa: Updated projected date for the 3rd halving in May 2020.
Notas de prensa: sourcing
Notas de prensa: Sourcing update

Script de código abierto

Siguiendo el verdadero espíritu de TradingView, el autor de este script lo ha publicado en código abierto, para que los traders puedan entenderlo y verificarlo. ¡Un hurra por el autor! Puede utilizarlo de forma gratuita, aunque si vuelve a utilizar este código en una publicación, debe cumplir con lo establecido en las Normas internas. Puede añadir este script a sus favoritos y usarlo en un gráfico.

Exención de responsabilidad

La información y las publicaciones que ofrecemos, no implican ni constituyen un asesoramiento financiero, ni de inversión, trading o cualquier otro tipo de consejo o recomendación emitida o respaldada por TradingView. Puede obtener información adicional en las Condiciones de uso.

¿Quiere utilizar este script en un gráfico?