theEccentricTrader

Ascending Elliot Wave Patterns [theEccentricTrader]

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█  OVERVIEW


This indicator automatically draws ascending Elliot Wave patterns and price projections derived from the ranges that constitute the patterns.


█  CONCEPTS


Green and Red Candles

• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.

Swing Highs and Swing Lows

• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.

Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)

• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.

Historic Peaks and Troughs

The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.

Range

The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.

Support and Resistance

• Support refers to a price level where the demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
• Resistance refers to a price level where the supply of an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from rising further.

Support and resistance levels are important because they can help traders identify where the price of an asset might pause or reverse its direction, offering potential entry and exit points. For example, a trader might look to buy an asset when it approaches a support level , with the expectation that the price will bounce back up. Alternatively, a trader might look to sell an asset when it approaches a resistance level , with the expectation that the price will drop back down.

It's important to note that support and resistance levels are not always relevant, and the price of an asset can also break through these levels and continue moving in the same direction.

Upper Trends

• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.

Lower Trends

• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.

Muti-Part Upper and Lower Trends

• A multi-part return line uptrend begins with the formation of a new return line uptrend, or higher peak, and continues until a new downtrend, or lower peak, completes the trend.
• A multi-part downtrend begins with the formation of a new downtrend, or lower peak, and continues until a new return line uptrend, or higher peak, completes the trend.
• A multi-part uptrend begins with the formation of a new uptrend, or higher trough, and continues until a new return line downtrend, or lower trough, completes the trend.
• A multi-part return line downtrend begins with the formation of a new return line downtrend, or lower trough, and continues until a new uptrend, or higher trough, completes the trend.

Double Trends

• A double uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price and the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A double downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price and the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.

Muti-Part Double Trends

• A multi-part double uptrend begins with the formation of a new uptrend that proceeds a new return line uptrend, and continues until a new downtrend or return line downtrend ends the trend.
• A multi-part double downtrend begins with the formation of a new downtrend that proceeds a new return line downtrend, and continues until a new uptrend or return line uptrend ends the trend.

Wave Cycles

A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.


Figure 1.


Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Ratios

The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers in which each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers, starting with 0 and 1. For example 0 + 1 = 1, 1 + 1 = 2, 1 + 2 = 3, and so on. Ultimately, we could go on forever but the first few numbers in the sequence are as follows: 0 , 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144.

The extension ratios are calculated by dividing each number in the sequence by the number preceding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 2/1 = 2, 3/2 = 1.5, 5/3 = 1.6666..., 8/5 = 1.6, 13/8 = 1.625, 21/13 = 1.6153..., 34/21 = 1.6190..., 55/34 = 1.6176..., 89/55 = 1.6181..., 144/89 = 1.6179..., and so on. The retracement ratios are calculated by inverting this process and dividing each number in the sequence by the number proceeding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 1/2 = 0.5, 2/3 = 0.666..., 3/5 = 0.6, 5/8 = 0.625, 8/13 = 0.6153..., 13/21 = 0.6190..., 21/34 = 0.6176..., 34/55 = 0.6181..., 55/89 = 0.6179..., 89/144 = 0.6180..., and so on.

1.618 is considered to be the 'golden ratio', found in many natural phenomena such as the growth of seashells and the branching of trees. Some now speculate the universe oscillates at a frequency of 0,618 Hz, which could help to explain such phenomena, but this theory has yet to be proven.

Traders and analysts use Fibonacci retracement and extension indicators, consisting of horizontal lines representing different Fibonacci ratios, for identifying potential levels of support and resistance. Fibonacci ranges are typically drawn from left to right, with retracement levels representing ratios inside of the current range and extension levels representing ratios extended outside of the current range. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing low, the Fibonacci range is drawn from peak to trough. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing high the Fibonacci range is drawn from trough to peak.

Elliot Wave Patterns

Ralph Nelson Elliott, authored his book on Elliott wave theory titled "The Wave Principle" in 1938. In this book, Elliott presented his theory of market behaviour, which he believed reflected the natural laws that govern human behaviour.

The Elliott Wave Theory is based on the principle that waves have a tendency to unfold in a specific sequence of five waves in the direction of the trend, followed by three waves leading in the opposite direction. This pattern is called a 5-3 wave pattern and is the foundation of Elliott's theory.

The five waves in the direction of the trend are labelled 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, while the three waves in the opposite direction are labelled A, B, and C. Waves 1, 3, and 5 are impulse waves, while waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves. Waves A and C are also corrective waves, while wave B is an impulse wave.

According to Elliott, the pattern of waves is fractal in nature, meaning that it occurs on all time frames, from the smallest to the largest.

In Elliott Wave Theory, the distance that waves move from each other depends on the specific market conditions and the amplitude of the waves involved. There is no fixed rule or limit for how far waves should move from each other, however, there are several guidelines to help identify and measure wave distances. One of the most common guidelines is the Fibonacci ratios, which can be used to describe the relationships between wave lengths. For example, Elliott identified that wave 3 is typically the strongest and longest wave, and it tends to be 1.618 times the length of wave 1. Meanwhile, wave 2 tends to retrace between 50% and 78.6% of wave 1, and wave 4 tends to retrace between 38.2% and 78.6% of wave 3.

In general, the patterns are quite rare and the distances that the waves move in relation to one another is subject to interpretation. For such reasons, I have simply included the ratios of the current ranges as ratios of the preceding ranges in the wave labels and it will, ultimately, be up to the user to decide whether or not the patterns qualify as valid.


█  FEATURES


Inputs

• Show Projections
• Pattern Color
• Label Color
• Extend Current Projection Lines


█  LIMITATIONS


All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
Notas de prensa:
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