There are faint signs that the down-trend in-USDJPY may reverse. First, here are the technicals: Negatives: 1. Last valid sell Sell Fractal was Sept 21th. 2. Your compass for direction, the alligator, is feeding weakly in a down trend, BUT JAWS ARE CLOSING. 3. CHOP is in the shaded area. This predicts NO TREND. 4. CHOP ZONE is red, indicating a downward bias. 5. Prices are trading below the Ichimoku Cloud . 6. Prices are below the Ichimoku Cloud baseline. 7. Ichimoku Cloud has red border. Positives: 1. Prices are ABOVE the red Ichimoku Cloud conversion line. 2. The 5/34 MACD (top) has a BULLISH cross. Histogram within is RISING. 3. The phase energy (top lower) is steadily RISING. 4. BULLISH BAT. 5. Buy Fractal at 101.247. For an estimation of possible FORWARD TRENDING I use the Ichimoku Cloud Senkou Span A (Leading Span A): (Conversion Line + Base Line)/2)). This is the midpoint between the Conversion Line and the Base Line. The Leading Span A forms one of the two Cloud boundaries. It is referred to as "Leading" because it is plotted 26 periods in the future and forms the faster Cloud boundary. I then make an oscillator out of this and plot the progress up and down around a “zero line”. Currently the forward projection in starting to move upwards ever so slightly. I HAVE THE RESULTS OF THESE CALCULATIONS IN THE TOP MIDDLE INDICATOR.
Will USDJPY-reverse trend and head higher? Who knows? All I am trying to show is the set-up is very favorable for this to happen. The best of luck to you in all your trades. Don.