Negative rates are finally here for the US with the 6mo t-bill ticking below -2bps (feed is slightly delayed here). Simply meaning that you will now need to pay the US government for 6mo cash deposits. This is the only way they can continue in the "end game" strategy.
It is a well known phenomenon that the , those who were able to conduct their middle-game carefully were able to build credible trading ideas that leave the opposition hopeless in the endgame.
One of the main requisites for BTC to succeed in the endgame is based on the ability that FED can continue to confiscate while the "People vs Establishment" narrative deteriorates via lack of confidence in monetary policy. The endgame is much more the part of trading in which advantages are needed from economics. Now, the realisation of advantages, specifically .
In order to understand the flows across the entire board, you must learn about the endgame by starting from its individual elements, because it has such elements, just like the opens and middle-game strategies. We have previously already that allow you to form ideas like this for the crash in German Equities.
Thanks as usual for keeping the support coming with likes, comments, charts and etc!
Biggest inflation danger is in the global markets beginning to act against USD - US was able to keep inflation low by entering new cheap markets and producing at very low rates. We see clear signs that this era ended and that US is no longer allowed to take new markets and there is massive pressure on the US making it difficult to go back to some of its older markets for cheap labor. US will not be able to do this and cost of alternatives will be at high cost leading to inflation and preventing US from printing.
So you have to understand that Fed is not allowed to create recessions, Fed is just trying to reduce inflation so they have to begin pivoting or it will start full force. Fed also knows that chances of inflation going away are near zero so they know they will have to get tighter and tighter - noone wants to deal with recession while US is under threat and needs to deal with wars on multiple fronts. Simple logic tells us that inflation was caused not only by money printing but also because efficiency fell and production abroad moved, and just small changes already got inflation out. Fed will play the pivot but they know inflation is about to bloom again and even at these rates it will begin to rise and this is clear to many - that is why DXY is on the rise because Fed will have to pile in to allot more hikes and there is no longer a choice about recession - it is coming. They will try to save the dollar for now so US has money to fight at the expense of economic crash.
USAS_INC
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It seems dollar shorts are short lived where as longs are long lived. DXY MAINSTREAM UPSIDE?? What do you think??
UnknownUnicorn4762443
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Excellent.Dear Teacher,
please Check this Idea.
I need your suggestion.
God bless you
We see clear signs that this era ended and that US is no longer allowed to take new markets and there is massive pressure on the US making it difficult to go back to some of its older markets for cheap labor.
US will not be able to do this and cost of alternatives will be at high cost leading to inflation and preventing US from printing.
So you have to understand that Fed is not allowed to create recessions, Fed is just trying to reduce inflation so they have to begin pivoting or it will start full force.
Fed also knows that chances of inflation going away are near zero so they know they will have to get tighter and tighter - noone wants to deal with recession while US is under threat and needs to deal with wars on multiple fronts.
Simple logic tells us that inflation was caused not only by money printing but also because efficiency fell and production abroad moved, and just small changes already got inflation out.
Fed will play the pivot but they know inflation is about to bloom again and even at these rates it will begin to rise and this is clear to many - that is why DXY is on the rise because Fed will have to pile in to allot more hikes and there is no longer a choice about recession - it is coming. They will try to save the dollar for now so US has money to fight at the expense of economic crash.