In time of market crash/turmoil/uncertainty, investor will nornally flock to TLT which is illustrated with TLT topping when SPX is bottoming and vice versa.
However, since Jan 2014, new brotherhood has been forged between TLT and SPX, they go UP together. Now, is this only a one year tie or will this "brothers" get muddy together?
Fingers crossed :-)
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CosmicDust
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I think this is possible. SPY might be much weaker than TLT in that case. Please see 2007 case in the following chart:tradingview.com/v/PVmYDIuM/