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Kumowizard
23 de May. de 2014 13:13

GBPUSD - Which way will it go? 

British Pound/U.S. DollarFXCM

Descripción

That has been a question for a while after the long lasting rally. Can it go further up, or will we see the end of the bullish trend, and maybe the first phase of a possible bearish reversal?

Let's make a checklist:

Daily: Major trend is still up, but the trendline is very close. Price trades above the Kumo, and at mom stuck in a flag. Kumo supports are: 1,6600 (prompt) and 1,6727 (Future Senkou B). Chikou SPan getting close to price candles, this makes it less bullish (momentum loosing) Tenkan/Kijun weak bearish cross, after a lower high print two days ago. Slow Stoch still climbing, and DMI is bullish, but ADX dropped below 20, means trend is likely out of steam.

4 Hrs: After going above the Kumo cloud, price has failed to keep going higher and corrected back into the cloud. This means short term undecision. DMI bearish here. (Slow Stoch not much relevance at current levels I think.

Heiken Ashi short term bearish. Red bars with MACD down.

I think there's some increasing chance that this bullish trend starts loosing momentum. Since the main focus is EURGBP, and there Sterling is doing really fine, I think the most likely scenario for close future is that GBPUSD will move a sideaway, with some possible bearish bias.
Comentarios
Kumowizard
Trendline was broken yesterday, confirmed today. Price on 4 Hrs broke below Kumo Cloud, Ichimoku setup is bearish there. We have a very important support at 1,6675-1,6710 range. If that breaks, then bearish move will have chance to accelerate on daily chart too. From that point any pull back will be an opportunity to add to bearish positions.
Kumowizard
Sorry if it was any confusing, but just realised I wrote a small mistake at the end of my original comment. I meant there is chance that GBPUSD starts loosing of its current very strong bullish momentum and it starts to trade in a sideaway range with possibly a new bearish bias. I did update in the original text as well.
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