Dow transportation index- Will inverse H&S breakout matter?

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  • On the weekly chart, the index has retaken rising trend line last week, but has failed to pierce through slanting inverse head and shoulder neckline level.

  • Even if the breakout happens this week, the question is will it matter? I would not give much importance to the formation…simply because inverse head and shoulder pattern is a reversal pattern, which needs to occur at the bottom of the trend and not around the top as can be seen now.

  • The real bullish break would a weekly close above the falling trend line (red). On the lower side, a break below rising trend line – black would suggest a re-test of right shoulder bottom of 7029.41 levels.

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