🚀 Idea: Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) – Accumulation Zone & AI Catalyst
🔍 Technical Analysis
Adobe is currently forming a base around $330–$360 on the weekly chart, which has been tested multiple times.
Supply zones: $550–$650, with a higher resistance near $700.
Momentum: Weekly RSI is showing a bullish divergence (lower lows in price vs. higher lows in momentum), signaling a possible reversal.
Projection: If support holds, price could re-test $550–$650 and potentially extend to $700+.
📊 Fundamentals & Catalysts
Q2 FY2025 Earnings: Revenue $5.87B (+11% YoY), EPS $5.06 vs. $4.48 YoY, with Digital Media ARR growing 12% YoY to $18.09B (Adobe, 2025a).
Digital Experience Segment: Expanded ~10% YoY, strengthening diversified revenue streams (Adobe, 2025a).
Raised Guidance: Full-year revenue outlook upgraded to $23.50-$23.60B and EPS to $20.50-$20.70 (Financial Modeling Prep, 2025).
AI Growth: Firefly and Acrobat AI Assistant adoption continues to drive ARR and premium feature upgrades (MarketWatch, 2025).
⚠️ Risks
Competitive threats from Canva, OpenAI, and other AI-driven platforms (Barron’s, 2025).
Slower enterprise adoption of premium AI features could weigh on margins.
Valuation remains elevated, requiring continued revenue and margin expansion.
📈 WaverVanir Trade Framework
Parameter Value
Entry Zone $330–$360
Stop Loss Below ~$300 (10–12% downside risk)
Target 1 $550–$650
Target 2 $700+
Time Horizon 3–6 months
R/R Potential ~2–3x if support holds
📌 Conclusion
Adobe sits at a critical accumulation level. If support holds, earnings strength + AI adoption momentum could propel price toward $550–$700. A failure to hold $330–$360 support would shift bias bearish toward $300.
#Adobe #ADBE #AI #DigitalMedia #WaverVanir #InstitutionalTrading
References
Adobe. (2025a). Q2 FY2025 financial results. Adobe Investor Relations.
Barron’s. (2025). Adobe earnings and competitive risks. Barron’s.
Financial Modeling Prep. (2025). Adobe raises full-year guidance as AI demand fuels growth.
MarketWatch. (2025). Adobe stock performance and AI catalyst outlook.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Adobe is currently forming a base around $330–$360 on the weekly chart, which has been tested multiple times.
Supply zones: $550–$650, with a higher resistance near $700.
Momentum: Weekly RSI is showing a bullish divergence (lower lows in price vs. higher lows in momentum), signaling a possible reversal.
Projection: If support holds, price could re-test $550–$650 and potentially extend to $700+.
📊 Fundamentals & Catalysts
Q2 FY2025 Earnings: Revenue $5.87B (+11% YoY), EPS $5.06 vs. $4.48 YoY, with Digital Media ARR growing 12% YoY to $18.09B (Adobe, 2025a).
Digital Experience Segment: Expanded ~10% YoY, strengthening diversified revenue streams (Adobe, 2025a).
Raised Guidance: Full-year revenue outlook upgraded to $23.50-$23.60B and EPS to $20.50-$20.70 (Financial Modeling Prep, 2025).
AI Growth: Firefly and Acrobat AI Assistant adoption continues to drive ARR and premium feature upgrades (MarketWatch, 2025).
⚠️ Risks
Competitive threats from Canva, OpenAI, and other AI-driven platforms (Barron’s, 2025).
Slower enterprise adoption of premium AI features could weigh on margins.
Valuation remains elevated, requiring continued revenue and margin expansion.
📈 WaverVanir Trade Framework
Parameter Value
Entry Zone $330–$360
Stop Loss Below ~$300 (10–12% downside risk)
Target 1 $550–$650
Target 2 $700+
Time Horizon 3–6 months
R/R Potential ~2–3x if support holds
📌 Conclusion
Adobe sits at a critical accumulation level. If support holds, earnings strength + AI adoption momentum could propel price toward $550–$700. A failure to hold $330–$360 support would shift bias bearish toward $300.
#Adobe #ADBE #AI #DigitalMedia #WaverVanir #InstitutionalTrading
References
Adobe. (2025a). Q2 FY2025 financial results. Adobe Investor Relations.
Barron’s. (2025). Adobe earnings and competitive risks. Barron’s.
Financial Modeling Prep. (2025). Adobe raises full-year guidance as AI demand fuels growth.
MarketWatch. (2025). Adobe stock performance and AI catalyst outlook.
WaverVanir ⚡ To grow and conquer
stocktwits.com/WaverVanir | wavervanir.com | buymeacoffee.com/wavervanir
Not Investment Advice
stocktwits.com/WaverVanir | wavervanir.com | buymeacoffee.com/wavervanir
Not Investment Advice
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones que ofrecemos, no implican ni constituyen un asesoramiento financiero, ni de inversión, trading o cualquier otro tipo de consejo o recomendación emitida o respaldada por TradingView. Puede obtener información adicional en las Condiciones de uso.
WaverVanir ⚡ To grow and conquer
stocktwits.com/WaverVanir | wavervanir.com | buymeacoffee.com/wavervanir
Not Investment Advice
stocktwits.com/WaverVanir | wavervanir.com | buymeacoffee.com/wavervanir
Not Investment Advice
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones que ofrecemos, no implican ni constituyen un asesoramiento financiero, ni de inversión, trading o cualquier otro tipo de consejo o recomendación emitida o respaldada por TradingView. Puede obtener información adicional en las Condiciones de uso.